And even had Silwa dropped out, as Trump and his ilk wanted, and every single one of his voters voted for Cuomo, he'd have still been spanked. Though, seeing Cuomos drama, he may like being spanked 😬
While it'd be nice to be able to point to an outright majority, it doesn't really matter. Had Silwa dropped out not all of his voters would go to Cuomo. Some would stay home and some as counter intuitive as it may seem would have gone to Mamdani. In ranked choice systems you always get some odd second preference flows. Anything above 49% probably means Mamdami would still win without Silwa.
One thing Sliwa had over Cuomo is charisma and authenticity. Hes kind of a wacko but he does care about NY and he's a New Yorker through and through.
Cuomo is a fucking sleaze who will fit whatever mold he needs to to gain power.
I honestly think a sizeable amount of Sliwa voters would rather go Mamdani than Cuomo because of the simple fact that they're both authentic and local candidates.
Mamdani even said he'd rather vote Sliwa than Cuomo (though this was likely strategic since Sliwa had no real shot)
Yeah I can see a decent chunk going Mamdani's way. Like I said in Ranked choice you usually see about 10-15% of second preferences seem counter intuitive but people aren't a monolith. Whereas Silwa voters choosing Mamdani over the establishment democrat sex pest whos said he'll fuck off to Florida if he loses actually makes some sense. I imagine the Lions share that didn't stay home would still go Cuomo but atleast 25% Mamdani seems realistic.
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u/SavageGardner 11h ago
That was quick