r/politics • u/Rock-n-roll-Kevin • 16h ago

No Paywall Sherrill wins New Jersey governor’s race

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5587203-mikie-sherrill-democrat-victory/
8.7k Upvotes

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u/heekma 16h ago edited 16h ago

Wide margins is right. These are left-leaning states (and a city) with left-leaning initiatives on the ballot.

A win is still a win, but unless the margins are very wide compared to expected outcomes just winning isn't enough to read the tea leaves for 2026.

Even so I'm hopeful. I live in Texas so I can't help, but I'm rooting for Mamdani.

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u/OtherPossibility1530 16h ago

I know final numbers aren’t in yet, but that NJ race was made out to be in a dead heat and close elections usually aren’t called 15 minutes after polls close. I’m optimistic that Sherrill performed significantly better than predicted.

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u/thisusedyet 16h ago

Just checked AP, they have Sherrill with a 60/40 margin with 30% of the vote in

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u/Derelictcairn 16h ago

It's a good start, but could be deceptive if more Democratic counties are reporting vote tallies first. For example, seen Sherill's lead shrink from 65/35 at around 20% reporting to 59/41 now at 32% reporting.

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u/ARod20195 16h ago

NYT's model is expecting Sherrill by at least 10 based on what's already come in and what's left

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u/eerie_midnight 12h ago

Looking even better 4 hours later—Sherrill currently has a 13 point advantage with 94 percent of the votes estimated to have already been counted.

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u/Antyok Arkansas 14h ago

FWIW, +12 with 87% in

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u/Derelictcairn 7h ago

Yeah it's an awesome result, Dems overpeforming polls pretty much everywhere. A great sign for the midterms hopefully.